A slim shot at some showers starts on Sunday in Alabama.

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Thursday and Friday will be warm enough that some record-high temperatures could be set across Alabama, and then we will finally have a chance of some showers. Check the video forecast for the latest.CLOSING IN ON RECORDSAlabama's forecast rain chances in the next ten days are so small you need a magnifying glass to see them. If it does not rain at all at Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport through Halloween, we will have our driest October since 1924. It would also be only the second that a month has had no rain in Birmingham's record dating back to 1895.Birmingham’s driest Octobers on record include these:This Year: 0.00 inchesOctober 1924: 0.00 inchesOctober 2016: a trace of rainfall (not enough to measure)October 1938: 0.05 inchesOctober 1991: 0.07 inches Temperatures surging to near-record levels this weekThe climatological normal high temperature for this week is around 74 degrees, and that normal low is close to 51 degrees.Morning low temperatures have been close to that norm, but it is feeling more like mid-September than late October during the day. Afternoon highs will be hitting way out of the normal range; 10-12 degrees above average. That puts Alabama in the mid-80s range through Friday. Record high temperatures for the rest of the week look like this: Thursday: 86 (1927)Friday: 88 (1927)Saturday: 88 (1963) While we may come up short of official records, it will be very close through Saturday.COLD FRONTS COMINGYou would not know it by the look or feel of the weather on Thursday, but a weak cool front will pass through the state.It will serve to reinforce the dry, mild Pacific air in place over the South through Friday and Saturday.Another one of these "Pacific" fronts will move south into the state on Saturday bringing some clouds, but it might have just enough moisture with it to produce a shower or two by Sunday.WEEKEND WEATHERAs October's final weekend approaches, it brings notable outdoor events. On Saturday, college football will see the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, Alabama playing against Missouri, and Auburn travels to Kentucky.This weekend also marks the end of pumpkin patches and fall festivals leading up to Halloween.The weather is expected to be excellent, albeit atypically warm for late October.Historically, the last weekend of October should experience low rain chances, with highs in the low 70s and lows around 50 degrees. Sunday is anticipated to be slightly more typical, with clouds and a slight chance of showers.WEDGING INTO NEXT WEEK A weak front passing through Alabama this weekend will stall to the south, while a strong area of high pressure will park over the East Coast through Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.A strong high in that position usually creates a scenario called "cold air damming," sometimes referred to as a "wedge of cool air."It develops when cool air blows down the coastal plain through the Carolinas and Georgia and cannot rise over the taller mountains. This damming of cool air forces it over Central Georgia into Alabama on an easterly breeze.Temperatures will be about 5 to 10 degrees cooler next week, and there will also be more clouds, although rain remains elusive for the Deep South.For the latest Birmingham weather information and Central Alabama's certified most accurate forecast, watch WVTM 13 News.Don't forget to follow us on Facebook, X, formerly Twitter, and Instagram.

Thursday and Friday will be warm enough that some record-high temperatures could be set across Alabama, and then we will finally have a chance of some showers. Check the video forecast for the latest.

CLOSING IN ON RECORDS

Alabama's forecast rain chances in the next ten days are so small you need a magnifying glass to see them.

If it does not rain at all at Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport through Halloween, we will have our driest October since 1924. It would also be only the second that a month has had no rain in Birmingham's record dating back to 1895.

Birmingham’s driest Octobers on record include these:

  • This Year: 0.00 inches
  • October 1924: 0.00 inches
  • October 2016: a trace of rainfall (not enough to measure)
  • October 1938: 0.05 inches
  • October 1991: 0.07 inches

Temperatures surging to near-record levels this week

The climatological normal high temperature for this week is around 74 degrees, and that normal low is close to 51 degrees.

Morning low temperatures have been close to that norm, but it is feeling more like mid-September than late October during the day.

Afternoon highs will be hitting way out of the normal range; 10-12 degrees above average.

That puts Alabama in the mid-80s range through Friday.

alabama weather forecast

alabama weather forecast

Record high temperatures for the rest of the week look like this:

  • Thursday: 86 (1927)
  • Friday: 88 (1927)
  • Saturday: 88 (1963)

While we may come up short of official records, it will be very close through Saturday.

COLD FRONTS COMING

You would not know it by the look or feel of the weather on Thursday, but a weak cool front will pass through the state.

It will serve to reinforce the dry, mild Pacific air in place over the South through Friday and Saturday.

Another one of these "Pacific" fronts will move south into the state on Saturday bringing some clouds, but it might have just enough moisture with it to produce a shower or two by Sunday.

WEEKEND WEATHER

As October's final weekend approaches, it brings notable outdoor events. On Saturday, college football will see the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, Alabama playing against Missouri, and Auburn travels to Kentucky.

alabama weather forecast

alabama weather forecast

This weekend also marks the end of pumpkin patches and fall festivals leading up to Halloween.

The weather is expected to be excellent, albeit atypically warm for late October.

alabama weather forecast

Historically, the last weekend of October should experience low rain chances, with highs in the low 70s and lows around 50 degrees. Sunday is anticipated to be slightly more typical, with clouds and a slight chance of showers.

alabama weather forecast

WEDGING INTO NEXT WEEK

A weak front passing through Alabama this weekend will stall to the south, while a strong area of high pressure will park over the East Coast through Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

alabama weather forecast

A strong high in that position usually creates a scenario called "cold air damming," sometimes referred to as a "wedge of cool air."

It develops when cool air blows down the coastal plain through the Carolinas and Georgia and cannot rise over the taller mountains. This damming of cool air forces it over Central Georgia into Alabama on an easterly breeze.

Temperatures will be about 5 to 10 degrees cooler next week, and there will also be more clouds, although rain remains elusive for the Deep South.


For the latest Birmingham weather information and Central Alabama's certified most accurate forecast, watch WVTM 13 News.

Don't forget to follow us on Facebook, X, formerly Twitter, and Instagram.

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