Experts warn 'crazy busy' Atlantic hurricane season is far from over

Noah has issued their mid hurricane season outlook as of August 8th and honestly, not much has changed. This is the latest forecast. The only number that changed was this number here. It was *** 25 and now it's *** 24. So we're still expecting an above average hurricane season. The national weather service expecting anywhere between 17 and 24 named storms this season, which is above the average of 14, 8 to 13 of those named storms will likely become hurricanes and 4 to 7 of those hurricanes will likely become major hurricanes. So an above average season is upon us and that is because of *** few things. The first thing is above normal sea surface temperatures. We're looking at the sea surface temperatures right now, which is in the mid eighties out in the Atlantic. And as we get closer to the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, we're talking about sea surface temperatures approaching 90 degrees. Well, the average sea surface temperature in the Atlantic is anywhere between 68 and 86 degrees. So all these numbers are above average. And while this is right now, currently, it paints *** picture of what we're going to see the rest of the season. Another thing to look for is wind shear. See that up there, that's all wind shear is also the jet stream, which is why there is *** lot of wind shear up there. But if we zoom out and show the entire Atlantic Ocean, the North Atlantic Ocean, you'll see there's not nearly as much wind shear down here compared to that gesturing and wind shear typically destroys any tropical storm or hurricanes or at least weakens them when they roll through pockets of wind shear like this one. But with *** lack of wind shear, that means more tropical development. And because *** La Nina is now developing according to NOAA out in the Pacific, that's going to weaken any wind shear out in the Atlantic Ocean overall, increasing the potential for tropical storms and hurricanes last but not least we have Saharan dust. We've seen *** good bit of dust enter the Atlantic and even parts to the Gulf of Mexico earlier into the season, prohibiting any tropical development. Well, there's still some out there now, but Noah is also saying that *** lot of this dust is going to start to subside, which is also going to increase those chances for some tropical development. So in the end, we also typically see further development within the next few months, mostly in September, moving into October. That's when we typically see the most tropical storms, hurricanes and even major hurricanes typically, May June, July, the beginning of the, we see very little development, but we did break records. Barrel formed as *** category five hurricane early in the season. It was the earliest category five hurricane ever on record. Chris formed briefly after that and Debbie impacted parts of the United States making landfall twice, one of which as *** category one hurricane. So if you want to stay up to date on all things, tropics head on over to W BT M thirteen.com for now. I'm meteorologist Jordan West W BT M 13.