1 year ago
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Hurricane Hilary forms off Mexico's Pacific coast and could bring rain to US Southwest
DAY BEFORE WE COOL DOWN, WHICH I’M TOTALLY COOL WITH. YES, I LIKE WHERE YOU’RE GOING. DO YOU CONCUR? I THINK WE’RE UNANIMOUS HERE. OKAY, COOL DOWN. YES. YEAH. ALL RIGHT. YEAH. WELL, WE’RE GOING TO TALK ABOUT THE EXTENDED FORECAST HERE FOR A COUPLE OF MINUTES. IT’LL TAKE US THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF YOU’VE BEEN PAYING ATTENTION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER STORY, YOU’VE PROBABLY HEARD OF HURRICANE HILLARY YET DEVELOPED YESTERDAY, AND IT’S BEEN STRENGTHENING. WE’LL GET INTO THAT. AS FOR TODAY, IN OUR IMMEDIATE AREA, LESS ACTIVITY IN THE SIERRA. SO SOME GOOD NEWS HERE. THIS IS THE LATEST SATELLITE LOOP OF HURRICANE HILLARY. IT’S CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN HERE OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AS OF RIGHT NOW, WINDS ARE AT 85MPH. IT’S GOING TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, STRENGTHENING AS IT RUNS THROUGH SOME WARMER WATER. IT WILL STILL LIKELY BE A HURRICANE AS IT PASSES VERY CLOSE TO CABO SAN LUCAS. SO THOSE WITH INTEREST THERE PAY CLOSE ATTENTION THERE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME VERY STRONG WINDS AND SOME RAIN STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE NEAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING. IT WILL HAVE WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY BY THIS POINT. AND WHEN WE’RE TALKING IMPACTS, THE IMPACTS FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL BE FAR GREATER THAN WHAT WE’RE EXPECTING HERE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. WIND AND RAIN LIKELY FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY, IMPERIAL COUNTY, PARTS OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AS WELL. THAT’S WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IN THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE. SOME OF THAT MOISTURE MAY DRIFT INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SO WE’VE KIND OF HIGHLIGHTED OUR BROAD THOUGHTS HERE FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. RAIN LOOKS MORE LIKELY ON MONDAY. BUT IF WE HAD TO PICK AN AREA RIGHT NOW, I THINK WE HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SEE SOME STEADY RAINFALL IN PARTS OF THE SIERRA SUNDAY INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY. HOW MUCH? THAT’S A QUESTION WE STILL NEED TO ANSWER. IT’S ALL GOING TO DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THAT MOISTURE. THERE’S A CHANCE THAT WE GET SOME LIGHT RAIN INTO PARTS OF THE VALLEY. I WOULD NOT GET TOO EXCITED ABOUT RAINFALL JUST YET. IF YOU ARE IN SACRAMENTO, IF YOU’RE IN STOCKTON, AND CERTAINLY IF YOU GO NORTH OF SACRAMENTO, YOU HAVE THE CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE EVEN LESS. WE’RE NOT EXPECTING RAINFALL IN THE FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES OF CALIFORNIA. SO THAT’S KIND OF THE BROAD BRUSH OF WHAT WE KNOW SO FAR. SEVEN DAY FORECAST FOR THE SIERRA DOES HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS ON SUNDAY, BETTER CHANCE FOR SOME STEADIER RAINFALL ON MONDAY. AS FOR THE VALLEY, WE INCREASE THE CLOUDS THAT DECREASES THE TEMPERATURES. SO SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, HIGHS LIKELY UPPER 80S TO LOW 90, A LITTLE MORE COMFORTABLE THERE. MAYBE WE BRING IN SOME MUGGINES
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Hurricane Hilary forms off Mexico's Pacific coast and could bring rain to US Southwest
Hilary strengthened into a Category 2 hurricane off Mexico’s Pacific coast Thursday, and it could bring heavy rain to the U.S. southwest by the weekend.The U.S. National Hurricane Center said that Hilary had maximum winds of 105 mph and could perhaps skim the coast of the Baja California peninsula by the weekend.Hilary was located about 500 miles south-southeast of Los Cabos, on the southern tip of the Baja peninsula. While it was still far from land, the hurricane was moving west-northwest at 14 mph and was expected to take a more northward turn, toward the U.S. border.It was expected to become a major hurricane by Friday and perhaps skim the sparsely populated western edge of the Baja coast. The hurricane center said it could possibly survive briefly as a tropical storm and cross the U.S. border.No tropical storm has made landfall in Southern California since Sept. 25, 1939, according to the National Weather Service.“Rainfall impacts from Hilary within the Southwestern United States are expected to peak this weekend into Monday,” the hurricane center wrote in a report. “Flash, urban, and arroyo flooding is possible with the potential for significant impacts.”The area affected by heavy rainfall may include the stretch between San Diego, California and Yuma, Arizona. A wider area between Bakersfield, California and Tucson, Arizona could also see rain.The outlook for excessive rainfall in Southern California stretches from Sunday to Tuesday, according to the Los Angeles weather office.The odds are against Hilary making landfall in California as a tropical storm but there is a high chance of major rain- and flood-related impacts, UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said in an online briefing Wednesday.
Hilary strengthened into a Category 2 hurricane off Mexico’s Pacific coast Thursday, and it could bring heavy rain to the U.S. southwest by the weekend.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center said that Hilary had maximum winds of 105 mph and could perhaps skim the coast of the Baja California peninsula by the weekend.
Hilary was located about 500 miles south-southeast of Los Cabos, on the southern tip of the Baja peninsula. While it was still far from land, the hurricane was moving west-northwest at 14 mph and was expected to take a more northward turn, toward the U.S. border.
It was expected to become a major hurricane by Friday and perhaps skim the sparsely populated western edge of the Baja coast. The hurricane center said it could possibly survive briefly as a tropical storm and cross the U.S. border.
No tropical storm has made landfall in Southern California since Sept. 25, 1939, according to the National Weather Service.
NOAA via AP
This satellite image taken at 10:50 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Aug. 17, 2023, and provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows Hurricane Hilary off the Pacific coast of Mexico.“Rainfall impacts from Hilary within the Southwestern United States are expected to peak this weekend into Monday,” the hurricane center wrote in a report. “Flash, urban, and arroyo flooding is possible with the potential for significant impacts.”
The area affected by heavy rainfall may include the stretch between San Diego, California and Yuma, Arizona. A wider area between Bakersfield, California and Tucson, Arizona could also see rain.
The outlook for excessive rainfall in Southern California stretches from Sunday to Tuesday, according to the Los Angeles weather office.
The odds are against Hilary making landfall in California as a tropical storm but there is a high chance of major rain- and flood-related impacts, UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said in an online briefing Wednesday.
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