October may set a rainfall record in Alabama, and it's not a good one.

Alabama’s weather will be stuck on “dry” for the foreseeable future, and the days will be getting warmer. Check the video forecast for the latest.COOL MORNINGS, WARM AFTERNOONSOur forecast, in a word, is “dry.”And it will be that way for quite a while.Dry weather usually means cool mornings and warm afternoons. The normal temperature range for the Birmingham area in mid-October is 53 degrees in the morning to around 75 degrees in the afternoon.Day by day this week, the temperature increases a little on both ends of the spectrum. It will stay cool in the mornings, but it will get quite a bit warmer in the afternoons as temperatures return to the 80s under a mostly sunny sky.Monday will have the coolest morning of the week. Some of the usual “cold spots” will drop as low as 40 to 45 degrees by sunrise. A day of full sunshine and a light east wind will warm the bone-dry ground quickly, and temperatures will soar to nearly 80 degrees in the afternoon.Tuesday and Wednesday will see a slight warm up each day: lows in the 50s, highs in the lower 80s, and a full complement of sunshine.WEAK COOL FRONTWe do expect a cool front to move through the state Wednesday night into Thursday, but the air behind it will be coming from the Pacific and western Canada. The source region of the air mass matters. Last week’s strong cold front brough a surge of air originating from the Arctic Circle. This week’s cold-front-in-name-only will barely be noticeable as it passes, and it will not change temperatures much at all. It also will not bring any threat of rain.Birmingham record seven-straight days of below-normal temperatures through Sunday. We will probably be well above the norm for the next seven to ten days – and maybe even longer than that.WEEKEND WEATHER PEEKThe final weekend of October is ahead of us, and with it comes some big outdoor events. In college football, the Magic City Classic will be played Saturday afternoon at Legion Field, Alabama will host Missouri, and UAB hosts Tulsa. It will also be the final weekend of pumpkin patches and Fall festivals leading up to Halloween.The weather looks fantastic, even if it will be a bit warmer than usual for the end of October.The record books tell us the final weekend of October should feature a low chance of rain, highs in the low-70s, and lows near 50 degrees. This time, it will be very warm and very dry: highs near 80 degrees and lows in the middle to upper 50s.RECORD-SETTING OCTOBER?With eleven days to go, Birmingham is set to have the driest October on record.We are forecasting zero rainfall through the upcoming weekend. Some of our longer-range guidance gives us a chance of some very low-impact rain around Monday, Oct. 28 and Tuesday, Oct. 29.Birmingham’s driest Octobers on record include these:This Year: 0.00”October 2016: a trace of rainfall (not enough to measure)October 1938: 0.05” totalOctober 1991: 0.07” totalIt is very unlikely that we will see any meaningful rainfall until at least the first week of November, and even then, the weather pattern does not look especially favorable for significant, helpful wet weather.This dry spell will likely mute the colors of peak leaf season in Alabama. We will see some nice colors in the trees over the next two to three weeks, but a wetter Fall usually gives us a brighter color palette to enjoy.For the latest Birmingham weather information and Central Alabama's certified most accurate forecast, watch WVTM 13 News.Don't forget to follow us on Facebook, X, formerly Twitter, and Instagram.