Active Tropical Atlantic: more storms likely in the days ahead
So as of Saturday afternoon, we're tracking two active storms and two areas of invest areas where the National Hurricane Center is interested in potential development. Soon. This one that's way out in the Atlantic, that one's probably going to become Kirk. And this one that's in the Caribbean, unless something beats it to it, it'll likely get the name Leslie sometime later this next week toward next weekend and look where it's headed the Gulf of Mexico yet again. Uh When we had our systems over the past couple of weeks, you had Francine that hit Louisiana. Uh Then you had, of course Helene that hit the Florida coastline that did *** little bit of damage to the ocean temperatures or what's called oceanic heat content that's looking at what's available for fueling *** tropical cyclone. And in this case, the water temperatures have cooled over the eastern part of the Gulf and here near the Yucatan, there was *** lot of upwelling, but look at this, this is called loop current right here. Uh There's *** lot of really warm water moving northbound there. There's plenty of warm water out here in the Western Gulf. So watch what happens with this thing called the central American gear. You get this broad area of low pressure that develops over central America and often these things will seed tropical development. So they basically assist in hurricane formation. And sure enough, look at that by Wednesday of next week, this is the GFS model and not only it's, it's look, it's not out there by itself. Uh It along with multiple other global models suggesting that we've got *** tropical system, whether it be tropical storm or hurricane moving into the Gulf toward the end of next week. Now, this is more specifics about that GFS model and this is kind of impressive looking. Uh You, you see this potential gulf coast threat next weekend, we'll run it from about Friday to Monday. The fourth through the seventh models are gonna flip flop all over the place with it, but Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Florida kinda all under the gun for the potential of yet another storm making landfall on the gulf coast. Now, if we run this model to its completion and remember *** lot of flip flop movement back and forth with it, that would be wants to bring it up across Southeast Alabama. Uh There is room for this thing to potentially go in all the way as far west as maybe western Louisiana and then some guidance including the GFS ensembles and the European model that want to send it back over here toward that northeast corner of the Gulf and that's desperate where we do not need this at this point. So how will that affect the weather in Alabama in the next seven days? Well, if we get rid of these spotty showers on Sunday, we have *** few sunny days, then of course, we're gonna watch the Gulf going into next weekend. High temperatures are gonna be in the eighties overnight. Lows down in the sixties and very limited risk of any rain at all until maybe next Friday or Saturday.
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Active Tropical Atlantic: more storms likely in the days ahead
Helene's remnants will slowly dissipate Sunday and Monday, but the National Hurricane Center is monitoring several areas for potential storm formation.Check the video for the latest. AREAS TO WATCH The forecast from Friday into the weekend will heavily depend on what happens with a new feature we are watching headed for the Gulf of Mexico.That will be one to watch for Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida late next week into the weekend (Oct. 4-7). The next names on the list are “Kirk” and “Leslie.” Kirk may form in the far eastern Atlantic in the next 48 hours. If that happens, the name of the potential Gulf storm would be Leslie.A second area in the Eastern Atlantic will probably become a tropical depression or storm by the first of the week.Tropical Storm Joyce has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean. Dry air and wind shear will limit Joyce's potential. The storm is expected to weaken and dissipate later this week.Hurricane Isaac is currently located in the northern Atlantic and is moving east/northeast at 18 mph. While the storm could strengthen slightly in the coming days, forecasters expect it to begin weakening due to unfavorable environmental conditions. Peak hurricane seasonHurricanes and tropical storms favor rapid development in September and October when the Atlantic Ocean averages its highest temperatures. Tropical storms and hurricanes need warm sea-surface temperatures of at least 79 degrees to begin developing. The Coast Guard Sector & State Docks in Mobile, Alabama, measures an average sea-surface temperature of 85.7 degrees in September.During this period, disturbances formed within the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea and the western Atlantic, and they favored northwestward tracks that approached the Gulf and eastern Atlantic Coast.>> LATEST NOAA HURRICANE OUTLOOK: Highly active hurricane season forecast in the Atlantic For the latest weather coverage for your area, click here. Stay updated with alerts in the WVTM 13 app. You can download it here.
Helene's remnants will slowly dissipate Sunday and Monday, but the National Hurricane Center is monitoring several areas for potential storm formation.
Check the video for the latest.
AREAS TO WATCH
The forecast from Friday into the weekend will heavily depend on what happens with a new feature we are watching headed for the Gulf of Mexico.
That will be one to watch for Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida late next week into the weekend (Oct. 4-7).
The next names on the list are “Kirk” and “Leslie.” Kirk may form in the far eastern Atlantic in the next 48 hours. If that happens, the name of the potential Gulf storm would be Leslie.
A second area in the Eastern Atlantic will probably become a tropical depression or storm by the first of the week.
Tropical Storm Joyce has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean. Dry air and wind shear will limit Joyce's potential. The storm is expected to weaken and dissipate later this week.
Hurricane Isaac is currently located in the northern Atlantic and is moving east/northeast at 18 mph. While the storm could strengthen slightly in the coming days, forecasters expect it to begin weakening due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
Peak hurricane season
Hurricanes and tropical storms favor rapid development in September and October when the Atlantic Ocean averages its highest temperatures. Tropical storms and hurricanes need warm sea-surface temperatures of at least 79 degrees to begin developing. The Coast Guard Sector & State Docks in Mobile, Alabama, measures an average sea-surface temperature of 85.7 degrees in September.
During this period, disturbances formed within the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea and the western Atlantic, and they favored northwestward tracks that approached the Gulf and eastern Atlantic Coast.
>> LATEST NOAA HURRICANE OUTLOOK: Highly active hurricane season forecast in the Atlantic
For the latest weather coverage for your area, click here. Stay updated with alerts in the WVTM 13 app. You can download it here.